BUSINESS

“With a hint of foam” Check Out The RBI’s March Bulletin For Comments On The Financial Market & Small-And Mid-Sized Stocks

The monthly bulletin for March 2024 was announced by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on March 19, 2024. The central bank discussed its opinions on the financial markets and the economy in the piece titled “State of Economy,” noting that equities are experiencing a strong bull market despite sporadic dips because of a widespread boom.

It went on to say that these advances in the real sector have given the financial markets a boost.In its March 2024 bulletin, the RBI said, “While large caps are gaining, mid- and small-caps are rising even faster, with hints of froth and a spreading equity culture.”

RBI Regarding AI & Stock Market
The RBI bulletin states that the possibility of monetary easing, the strong profitability of big businesses, and the expected productivity increases associated with artificial intelligence have all contributed to the rise in stock markets and riskier assets more broadly.

RBI Data on Income Per Capita
In its bulletin, the central bank said that “small town opportunities are leading to growth of business across lifestyle segments, with companies that entered these markets enjoying the fruits of being first movers,” implying that there are significant changes in per capita income now taking place.

RBI’s Statement Regarding Global Setting
The Central Bank highlighted global tensions by stating that persistent inflation in key countries, unstable financial circumstances, and geopolitical tensions are all obstacles to the outlook for the global economy. According to our model-based forecast, the pace of global growth will slow down in Q1 of 2024.

RBI On The World Economy & Stock Market
In remarks on the world’s foreign currency markets, the RBI noted that as expectations of rate reduction were tempered, the US dollar somewhat strengthened, partially undoing the decline seen towards the end of 2023. The central bank said that both the euro and the yen had lost strength in its remarks on the Euro Zone. Bonds are the main source of the robust portfolio inflows that EMEs continue to get. With the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) EM index trading above its 2023 close, EME equities are set to reverse recent losses.

RBI Regarding GDP
According to the central bank, strong momentum, increased indirect taxes, and reduced subsidies all contributed to real GDP growth in October–December 2023, which reached a six-quarter high rate. “When viewed in conjunction with high-frequency indicators for the fourth quarter, our nowcast of real GDP growth for January–March 2024 (Section III) suggests that the NSO’s estimate for the full year 2023–24 will be exceeded and a rate closer to 8% may be clocked,” the statement said.

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